Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

People are maximally incentivized to be right because of the monetary risk and reward.

A 94% odds indicates an extremely high likelihood that something is going to happen. It's relevant because it's a different, additional perspective than whatever a news article says.

It's a 2500℅ ROI if it's not struck down, so I would encourage you to bet if you think the outcome will be no.



Consider applying for YC's Fall 2026 batch! Applications are open till July 27.

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: