There are a lot of better ways to present your point; for example:

How many batteries supplied with Elon Musk’s companies’ products have encountered an unplanned combustion event after light or no damage?

Does SpaceX use in-house or third-party batteries in their satellites?

Is their explosion rate of 2(?) per N, where N is the number of unexploded SpaceX satellites, plausibly still within the statistical ranges defined by non-SpaceX satellites given the data available to us?

Did the satellite deflect before it exploded or are the shard trajectories consistent with a zero-impact scenario?

etc.

hate to be pedantic, but for 2 out of N, n would have to be the sum of all satellites including the exploded ones

You’re probably right but the question isn’t mine in the first place; look up some data and you’re set to discuss with OP. I was constructing communication examples, not mathematically-correct ones. Guess I did well enough at that!